NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52ec10f2737597c9df1b413108ab1310eb3011d907c2f11fae5ed6920deb41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Browns, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,869,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,083,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,869,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Raiders | 19c | 260,930$49,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,578.07 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 60c | 156,939$94,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,203.3 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Raiders | 17c | 68,534$11,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,863.65 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Browns | 40c | 62,666$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,665.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Raiders | 15c | 58,774$8,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,783.51 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Browns | 79c | 45,497$35,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,727.32 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Browns | 78c | 38,189$29,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,252.99 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Raiders | 62c | 30,862$19,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,134.38 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Browns | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Browns | 80c | 20,470$16,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.33 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Browns | 38c | 19,311$7,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,972.93 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raiders | 39c | 17,622$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,892.92 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…f848backed Raiders | 5c | 16,638$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Raiders | 25c | 16,393$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders | 60c | 16,145$9,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,686.83 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Browns | 38c | 16,053$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…f4b1backed Browns | 57c | 15,932$9,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Raiders | 43c | 15,900$6,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Raiders | 63c | 15,765$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945.04 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Browns | 35c | 15,185$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,864.64 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raiders | 61c | 12,878$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Browns | 65c | 12,517$8,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Browns | 42c | 11,418$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.74 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raiders | 62c | 11,158$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,915.55 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raiders | 61c | 10,633$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.23 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raiders | 64c | 10,566$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744.94 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Raiders | 65c | 8,918$5,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,812.84 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Raiders | 0c | 8,624$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 36c | 8,107$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.24 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders | 1c | 7,952$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Raiders | 62c | 7,883$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.38 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Raiders | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raiders | 65c | 6,800$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.8 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Raiders | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Browns | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raiders | 30c | 5,820$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.88 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Browns | 34c | 5,606$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Browns | 38c | 5,159$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.08 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Browns | 80c | 5,050$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.25 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raiders | 19c | 5,003$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.07 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Browns | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Browns | 78c | 5,000$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…7806backed Raiders | 63c | 4,954$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…a56ebacked Browns | 37c | 4,946$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raiders | 62c | 4,474$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.61 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raiders | 27c | 4,133$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.55 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Raiders | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raiders | 0c | 3,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raiders | 15c | 3,742$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns | 72c | 3,650$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.71 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raiders | 14c | 3,013$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.46 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Browns | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Raiders | 17c | 2,850$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Raiders | 35c | 2,814$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…8505backed Browns | 38c | 2,612$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Browns | 40c | 2,499$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.59 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Browns | 38c | 2,493$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raiders | 61c | 2,493$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.8 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 62c | 2,409$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.81 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raiders | 63c | 2,323$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.3 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Raiders | 1c | 2,289$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raiders | 62c | 2,287$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.9 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Raiders | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Browns | 41c | 2,195$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.12 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Browns | 78c | 2,100$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.24 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.59 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…34b2backed Raiders | 2c | 2,044$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Raiders | 45c | 2,016$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Raiders | 22c | 2,001$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.55 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Raiders | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Raiders | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Browns | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Raiders | 62c | 1,800$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.16 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raiders | 62c | 1,771$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.27 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raiders | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Raiders | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…4fcfbacked Raiders | 63c | 1,579$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…d21bbacked Browns | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raiders | 63c | 1,492$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…dcfdbacked Raiders | 20c | 1,480$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Browns | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Browns | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.13 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Browns | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…c728backed Browns | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Browns | 37c | 1,191$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.44 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693cbacked Browns | 44c | 1,147$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…df5dbacked Browns | 36c | 1,089$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed Browns | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Browns | 74c | 1,051$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.02 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Browns | 38c | 1,003$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.82 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Raiders | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Raiders | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Browns | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Browns | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Browns | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Raiders | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Raiders | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Raiders | 12c | 979.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Raiders | 21c | 900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Browns vs. Raidersthis page
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 35.5Under won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5Under won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 37.5Under won
- Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Raiders (-2.5)Browns won
- Spread: Raiders (-3.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.