Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116aeb197fccbbf530d05f2bc7d6d79f3293f647221b6687d589cd06412462ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brisbane Heatof Brisbane Heat, Perth Scorchers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Brisbane Heat | 77c | 6,023$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.11 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Brisbane Heat | 36c | 4,405$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.05 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Brisbane Heat | 52c | 3,639$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.02 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Brisbane Heat | 9c | 3,317$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.39 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Brisbane Heat | 17c | 3,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.01 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…be7bbacked Brisbane Heat | 2c | 1,650$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +439.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Perth Scorchers | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Brisbane Heat | 47c | 1,478$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.59 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Brisbane Heat | 6c | 1,265$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Brisbane Heat | 48c | 1,221$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Perth Scorchers | 60c | 1,181$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.8 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 984$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Brisbane Heat | 2c | 957.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.48 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Brisbane Heat | 67c | 949.99$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Brisbane Heat | 15c | 900$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Perth Scorchers | 52c | 822$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Brisbane Heat | 7c | 752.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +167%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Brisbane Heat | 73c | 710$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…9351backed Brisbane Heat | 75c | 611.46$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Perth Scorchers | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Brisbane Heat | 10c | 572.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.41 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Perth Scorchers | 62c | 500.79$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…8f5bbacked Brisbane Heat | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Brisbane Heat | 73c | 457$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed Brisbane Heat | 18c | 443.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.12 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Perth Scorchers | 36c | 438.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Perth Scorchers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Brisbane Heat | 39c | 290$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…56d4backed Perth Scorchers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Brisbane Heat | 6c | 237.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.17 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Perth Scorchers | 73c | 206.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…7068backed Brisbane Heat | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Perth Scorchers | 34c | 180.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…c4c8backed Brisbane Heat | 78c | 172.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Brisbane Heat | 46c | 152.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Brisbane Heat | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Brisbane Heat | 9c | 143.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Brisbane Heat | 67c | 137.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Brisbane Heat | 16c | 133.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Perth Scorchers | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…cb91backed Brisbane Heat | 74c | 122.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Brisbane Heat | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 119.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Brisbane Heat | 43c | 102.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Brisbane Heat | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Brisbane Heat | 43c | 98.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Perth Scorchers | 16c | 93.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Perth Scorchers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…9b07backed Brisbane Heat | 14c | 83.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Perth Scorchers | 66c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Perth Scorchers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…85e3backed Brisbane Heat | 18c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +459.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Perth Scorchers | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Perth Scorchers | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…fba5backed Brisbane Heat | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Perth Scorchers | 44c | 48.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Perth Scorchers | 71c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Perth Scorchers | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Brisbane Heat | 42c | 42.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Perth Scorchers | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Perth Scorchers | 57c | 38.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Brisbane Heat | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Brisbane Heat | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Brisbane Heat | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Brisbane Heat | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…e5ccbacked Brisbane Heat | 33c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Brisbane Heat | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…5ea3backed Brisbane Heat | 74c | 26.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Brisbane Heat | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588a…aeebbacked Brisbane Heat | 53c | 19.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.