TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6a8…a87a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.08
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.61
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Varvara Grachevabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ella Seidelbacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Hailey Baptiste vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.5%+$83.98
Shapovalov vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Kecmanovic vs. Shelton: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+64.3%+$31.52
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+62.3%+$65.39
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.45
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+205%+$671.05
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.6%+$55.27
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Minaur vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+103.7%+$77.78
Ostapenko vs. Mboko: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Julia Grabherbacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$19.94
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tamara Korpatschbacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+74.5%+$37.24
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Clara Tauson vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81%+$65.64
Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Masarova (+1.5)backed Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+76.5%+$37.23
Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.96
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.42
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88.05
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$51.88
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.1%+$22.04
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.6
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$18.85
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.3
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.78
Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$37.02
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.12
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39.96
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$26.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$98.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+65.1%+$35.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.