TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,811,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,891,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,811,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea34…0a92backed Nuggets64c129,687$82,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,260.546654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x390a…1328backed Suns19c85,000$15,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,949.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+77.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets61c80,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Suns43c53,966$23,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,432.2121450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Nuggets58c53,966$31,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,866.9917861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Suns43c50,541$21,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,630.7713455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Suns42c47,000$19,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,534.644742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets59c42,636$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,635.8634062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Suns41c36,476$15,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,064.181,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Suns40c32,206$12,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,882.3425248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Suns41c30,114$12,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,474.3435235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns37c28,998$10,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,855.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Suns42c28,434$11,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,974.0911558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets61c25,000$15,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,749.9920253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns39c24,492$9,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,635.555,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets62c19,951$12,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,541.351,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Nuggets61c19,672$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,672.132580%20 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns28c18,263$5,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Suns44c18,055$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.0435547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Nuggets61c16,593$10,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,455.445139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets58c16,021$9,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,716.992,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets60c15,304$9,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,113.092,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed Nuggets59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Suns42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.995850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Suns34c14,576$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.3426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets62c14,501$8,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.9755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Nuggets60c13,774$8,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.419849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Suns39c13,308$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.9237557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3300…568bbacked Nuggets64c13,087$8,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,654.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Nuggets63c12,087$7,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48516942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns39c11,335$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,440.173,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Suns2c10,098$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15347134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Suns43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3008037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Suns35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.964544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets58c9,646$5,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.6944648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd558…14b0backed Nuggets65c9,278$6,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…dd49backed Suns35c9,259$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Nuggets63c9,191$5,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.2917441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Suns36c8,591$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.692,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Suns2c8,210$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns34c8,055$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.8674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Suns44c7,500$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.439349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets61c7,107$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.5459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Nuggets57c6,677$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.0419958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Suns38c6,636$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.6348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets50c6,498$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.7576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…a633backed Suns21c6,440$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.29953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Nuggets59c6,300$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.9413743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Suns37c6,249$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.115443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Suns35c6,149$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.521,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets60c6,025$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Suns20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014243%61 W · 81 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Suns14c6,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Suns26c6,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Suns1c5,889$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.896918.8%13 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Suns36c5,526$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cf…511dbacked Nuggets56c5,500$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets62c5,411$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.3289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Suns44c5,410$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.420542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns38c5,388$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.192,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Nuggets64c5,130$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.619136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Nuggets61c5,115$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.8311741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Suns40c4,982$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.131,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Nuggets61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.0317250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Suns41c4,580$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.3312646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Nuggets68c4,500$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets61c4,320$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Nuggets59c4,158$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.0711547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns38c4,100$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5581,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Suns37c4,010$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.740133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Suns39c3,853$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.0473649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a976backed Nuggets54c3,731$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.8814248.6%69 W · 73 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets58c3,502$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.992,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns28c3,464$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.5381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d7…7cf1backed Nuggets65c3,144$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.231973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0323…77e4backed Suns35c3,140$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Nuggets57c3,050$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.528249.6%140 W · 142 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets61c3,043$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.8621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Suns29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Suns38c3,000$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.56659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Suns36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Suns1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Suns39c2,979$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.5473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Suns36c2,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Suns38c2,695$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.6592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets71c2,679$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Suns1c2,645$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.911088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Suns25c2,640$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9920839.4%82 W · 126 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Nuggets61c2,638$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.2417540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Suns38c2,638$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Suns0c2,618$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.218820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Suns38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Suns42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddd…166cbacked Nuggets60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Nuggets52c2,500$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.576448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Nuggets64c2,495$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.573455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Suns21c2,493$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3310652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.