NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b8631bf497e1e2318552030a03dce1f109ccf62138b3090e4a1427a1fde540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.07 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 8,093$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,244$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 5,995$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.46 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 49c | 5,515$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.93 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 49c | 5,250$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.47 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Over | 47c | 4,416$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.73 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 51c | 2,632$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.23 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Over | 47c | 2,607$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.86 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Under | 52c | 2,568$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…31d0backed Under | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…02e2backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 55c | 1,550$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.29 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Over | 45c | 1,456$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 1,393$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.15 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 1,185$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 53c | 1,089$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 913$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 883$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…3918backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…87ccbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 47c | 470$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Over | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 436.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 47c | 422$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 28c | 293.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 278.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 193.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 191.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 52c | 134.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 54c | 92.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Under | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…ab3fbacked Under | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 50c | 57.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1b1abacked Over | 48c | 36.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…8297backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…2581backed Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f9…15eebacked Over | 54c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5this page
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.