TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,942,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,129,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,942,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a1…e03abacked Pacers45c1,053,571$475,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578,571.165952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Bulls55c528,930$289,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289,622.0426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls56c124,799$70,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,042.952,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bulls55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,00070147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bulls55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Bulls56c90,797$50,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,846.1526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Bulls67c74,219$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers58c62,568$36,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,045.941,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers40c60,128$24,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,958.1951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pacers58c57,544$33,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,198.6359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x818b…ccc8backed Pacers59c54,551$32,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,520.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls54c49,204$26,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,570.2796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls51c48,988$24,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,743.955,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Bulls54c41,290$22,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,296.8414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers40c40,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls59c39,210$23,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,060.352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers49c38,192$18,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,550.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bulls56c36,165$20,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,113.8217658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Bulls48c33,920$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,20017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Bulls59c30,927$18,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,150.8414549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Bulls57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,099.9817354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Bulls60c29,897$17,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,937.9819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Bulls55c25,674$14,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,246.757745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers44c25,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,00027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls45c22,546$10,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,072.6725925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers39c20,977$8,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,795.931,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Bulls57c20,833$11,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,940.555139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pacers50c20,070$9,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,109.821944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…f58bbacked Bulls38c18,719$7,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,058.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls55c16,727$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.92,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls56c15,975$8,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,921.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls56c15,065$8,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,432.041,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Pacers44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40037557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Bulls60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00012334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb192…cc5cbacked Bulls54c14,924$8,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,048.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls43c14,726$6,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,321.081,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls56c14,502$8,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.1269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls49c13,739$6,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,677.611,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls52c13,603$7,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,063.491,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls48c13,525$6,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,540.6181529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Bulls56c12,500$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Bulls49c12,353$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.067353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pacers39c11,071$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,700.5992753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bulls77c10,366$8,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,005.537869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…278fbacked Bulls59c10,233$6,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,037.241330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf90…fa89backed Bulls60c10,200$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,120650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Pacers42c10,149$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,886.154742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x390a…1328backed Bulls43c10,000$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+77.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bulls60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Pacers40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pacers44c9,160$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,159.8948938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Pacers35c9,128$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,903.199849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3300…568bbacked Bulls57c8,842$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ee…3d48backed Pacers57c8,480$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.051741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls58c8,150$4,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,725.731,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers43c8,087$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.713,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Bulls55c7,465$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,105.842142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef72…5295backed Bulls45c7,000$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Bulls69c6,964$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.455664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bulls58c6,371$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.992,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers32c6,164$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Bulls48c5,948$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.5322846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers39c5,752$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.831,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8361…bb6abacked Bulls61c5,738$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea0…5994backed Pacers39c5,737$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Bulls51c5,261$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.574656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Bulls60c5,067$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.211741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers62c5,030$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91814245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Bulls57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8505541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers53c4,772$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Pacers63c4,689$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Bulls51c4,655$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.8714551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls56c4,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bulls55c4,500$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.272,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers43c4,500$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers37c4,478$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.3446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bulls61c4,468$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.8648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Bulls58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3203351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…0b58backed Pacers40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…6f71backed Bulls60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13e…c564backed Bulls57c3,916$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.291020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Bulls61c3,869$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bulls44c3,804$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.6126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Bulls53c3,600$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.969141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls55c3,466$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.891,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Bulls60c3,400$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04013743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3021…3b3dbacked Pacers40c3,200$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Bulls58c3,117$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.765850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers66c3,055$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls58c3,033$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Bulls57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Bulls57c3,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Bulls54c2,994$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.1919388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls55c2,985$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Bulls40c2,912$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1534436.4%16 W · 28 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls58c2,901$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Pacers53c2,860$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.3810045%45 W · 55 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Pacers43c2,850$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.59256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.