NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b4d326e8cebd127361ee3fdb2cd87379490b493433e6b9eeaf36039675239d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 60c | 34,000$20,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,768.58 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 18,918$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,734.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 43c | 10,912$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.49 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 54c | 2,777$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.16 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…ff56backed Over | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Over | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Under | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Under | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Over | 42c | 1,882$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 40c | 1,671$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 40c | 1,120$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 1,026$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 53c | 770.18$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 648$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Over | 15c | 396.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Under | 59c | 220.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 59c | 148$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Under | 56c | 144.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Under | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Under | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Under | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 44c | 79.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 44c | 43.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f9…15eebacked Under | 64c | 36.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…f95ebacked Under | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
- Bulls vs. PacersPacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.