NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4180808c6ad05bceb7246e473435256e02407bc16cadd6a66c07dabaac5ee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 8,348$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.61 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 46c | 5,520$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.2 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.16 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Over | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…5626backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…2396backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…00f6backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 51c | 1,929$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.24 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 52c | 1,397$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.44 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 50c | 784.18$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Under | 54c | 463$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Over | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…9464backed Under | 54c | 317.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 280.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 188.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 53c | 139.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 41c | 121$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 48c | 99.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…754abacked Under | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 47c | 77.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 72.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 53c | 39.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 48c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…293ebacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
- Bulls vs. PacersPacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.