TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,877,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,162,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,877,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics52c219,350$115,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,149.3287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Pistons48c208,052$99,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,236.6112147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons47c193,700$90,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,814.362,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics53c134,635$71,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,815.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics52c94,444$49,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,010.8417354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics35c94,089$32,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,662.541,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics54c64,395$34,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,692.171,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Pistons47c62,000$29,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,859.8711535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics53c56,084$29,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,591.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Celtics54c50,995$27,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,537.1421450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Pistons47c50,995$23,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,027.1917861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons50c47,459$23,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,534.542,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Celtics53c45,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Celtics52c41,800$21,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,735.9214052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics53c40,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,000.0259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons47c31,109$14,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,519.691,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Pistons54c30,855$16,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,325.1216846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons47c29,181$13,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,5642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Pistons49c28,695$14,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,647.0415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics57c28,080$16,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,005.5959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed Celtics41c25,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Celtics54c25,000$13,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,386.3817658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons63c24,646$15,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,045.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Celtics53c22,223$11,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,778.1923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pistons47c22,222$10,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,777.6620551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons46c21,642$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,642.176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Pistons47c21,091$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,091.3221944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Celtics53c20,684$10,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,962.5736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Pistons65c20,631$13,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,293.119388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics25c20,000$4,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,942.8537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Celtics54c19,748$10,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,664.0225945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics55c18,182$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…1665backed Pistons47c17,021$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,021.283737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Pistons48c17,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8406352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Pistons47c15,884$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,384.0338649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons47c15,605$7,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,270.421,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics53c15,600$8,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,267.9927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Celtics54c15,446$8,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,34113455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Pistons48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics26c14,277$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.621,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics56c12,736$7,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pistons43c12,107$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,901.0414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Celtics52c11,920$6,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,219.541,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Pistons46c11,000$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.9914945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Celtics50c10,993$5,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,494.8616942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9596…d8cfbacked Pistons48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Pistons48c10,408$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,412.335947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Celtics53c10,026$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,313.5824650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons46c10,005$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Celtics53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Celtics52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2004035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons47c9,519$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.1176850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Pistons41c9,414$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,587.933036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Celtics5c9,192$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.5922457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons47c9,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,77066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics52c8,518$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.171,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Pistons47c8,506$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,508.384544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Pistons39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88010837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Celtics53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,239.9613148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…c26ebacked Pistons48c7,898$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,106.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons57c7,549$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…bceebacked Celtics54c7,100$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8341030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics44c7,033$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.321,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Celtics1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Celtics51c6,699$3,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43818140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics53c6,633$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.2474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics42c6,345$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f2…b9d3backed Pistons47c6,300$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…efa4backed Celtics54c6,300$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Pistons48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2506245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Pistons49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.655444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Pistons48c5,789$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b6…ceb1backed Celtics53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Pistons54c5,530$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.699852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Celtics53c5,472$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9008347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Celtics52c5,379$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.0611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…85d8backed Pistons48c5,253$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons46c5,048$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.2844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked Celtics52c5,013$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.694643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Celtics38c5,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pistons47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pistons46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Celtics46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics51c4,848$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics52c4,837$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.371,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pistons57c4,827$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.7885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics54c4,756$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons49c4,690$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4f…f290backed Celtics26c4,594$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.563237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons48c4,583$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.3341954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Celtics52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.9547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Pistons46c4,319$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.3535651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Pistons49c4,300$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.0520746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Pistons48c4,228$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.637149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12d…35febacked Celtics3c4,135$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons69c4,128$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.31,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Celtics54c4,074$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.