NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4d55f34c3632ae200525295aeddafcf7ee6d58ecde28eaa503b7322448648e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 24,139$12,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,736.67 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 10,611$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…9a47backed Over | 51c | 9,870$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 9,850$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…c638backed Over | 50c | 4,571$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…d6c1backed Over | 50c | 4,210$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 3,813$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 53c | 3,746$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 47c | 3,534$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.86 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 51c | 3,253$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 1,906$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.93 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 1,802$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.27 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…f58ebacked Under | 48c | 1,653$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over | 49c | 1,647$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7a…b88dbacked Over | 53c | 1,551$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 47c | 1,176$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.28 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,149$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 644.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 626.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.03 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Over | 49c | 617$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 611$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Over | 57c | 351.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 299.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 178.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 49c | 123$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 48c | 99.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…eac2backed Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…1e75backed Under | 51c | 84.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 49c | 77.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…7d56backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…b537backed Under | 49c | 49.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 42.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 54c | 42.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…d3eebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 30.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Under | 51c | 22.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. CelticsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.