NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5bfbf8a3e30feefa36e40e0391da7210c136b405e6d8c0664f7fb600a056e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 19,671$9,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,833.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 17,495$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,760 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 55c | 9,543$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…c638backed Over | 52c | 7,827$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 6,392$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 5,876$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.2 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 5,382$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 51c | 4,706$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 3,707$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.63 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 3,600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 51c | 2,357$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 1,922$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.81 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,438$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 524.26$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 47c | 422.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 79c | 399.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5089…96cdbacked Over | 49c | 242.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 188.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 42c | 140.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 20c | 100.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Under | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 54c | 88.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked Under | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 47c | 59.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 54c | 56.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1898…3f18backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 54c | 37.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Under | 56c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Over | 49c | 22.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. CelticsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.