NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdefef4046c851e03ce9970c3bf499326f80f1fe0b51d1d939645153389cc45e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Celtics, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Pistons | 49c | 18,744$9,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.56 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Pistons | 49c | 9,646$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.45 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6b…e070backed Celtics | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics | 50c | 8,104$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.1 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 48c | 7,861$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 51c | 7,187$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 54c | 5,322$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,781$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons | 50c | 4,322$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…23f1backed Pistons | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Celtics | 51c | 4,000$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.9 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…0fdabacked Celtics | 51c | 3,345$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pistons | 50c | 2,219$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.27 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…4867backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons | 51c | 1,581$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.78 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Celtics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94fdbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,449$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 62c | 1,173$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pistons | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Celtics | 27c | 752.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Pistons | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 50c | 431.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pistons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Celtics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 50c | 352.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 49c | 303.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Pistons | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 48c | 203.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Pistons | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…b9f8backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Pistons | 52c | 192.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 50c | 186.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 50c | 159.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Celtics | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pistons | 64c | 109.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Pistons | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Celtics | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked Pistons | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 49c | 91.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pistons | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 19c | 78.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Pistons | 61c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Pistons | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Celtics | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Pistons | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…570fbacked Celtics | 68c | 65.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Celtics | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 48c | 54.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…4833backed Celtics | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…cc1bbacked Celtics | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…7797backed Celtics | 51c | 47.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…fdc7backed Celtics | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Pistons | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Pistons | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…73e7backed Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Celtics | 51c | 36.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Pistons | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Celtics | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Celtics | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Celtics | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…9d1ebacked Celtics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Celtics | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Celtics | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…8b49backed Celtics | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 49c | 21.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Pistons | 50c | 20.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Pistons | 51c | 20.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Celtics | 50c | 20.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…1069backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. CelticsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.