TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under53c46,823$24,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,006.811,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c37,674$17,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,821.712,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c6,925$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.7569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over53c5,709$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.7240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bf…c638backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Over50c5,593$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2261,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over50c3,702$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85114856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c3,100$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4882,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over47c2,676$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c2,348$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Under50c2,075$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.57347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c1,680$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.612,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c1,588$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.662,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56141742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c908.18$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.011,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over51c870.01$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.715653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under53c568.58$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.771,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under49c537.83$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.120638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c422$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Over48c399.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19230826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c388.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Under49c319.67$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.034233.3%14 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14429458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over47c289.63$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1325642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Over14c220$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under47c208$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.781,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…a633backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c195.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Under56c178.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.952245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0611652.6%61 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c146.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.453,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over60c103.28$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6262848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Under73c102.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0344821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…1f26backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over43c97.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.112952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b7…4ab6backed Under51c88.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Under51c86.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.554235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over51c85.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over18c83.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6463427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2216669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0968…ee21backed Over51c72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3532750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Over68c66.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.992528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Under53c64.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.563647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b7…c02cbacked Under48c61.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.884252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over38c57.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over37c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc2…07d8backed Over68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under77c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.227747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Under51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.055646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Over51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228760.9%53 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.418649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce86…b648backed Under51c39.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9244…d493backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd6…6202backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Under50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8268…b85cbacked Over50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb61…1c92backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.155844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over61c32.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked Under48c31.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.113357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under51c30.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0621749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb860…fa01backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under48c28.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0819756.3%111 W · 86 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e9…d49cbacked Over51c25.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…e264backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6661…a073backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cd…4edbbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x620b…9eb4backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…92bcbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6391…0c21backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf276…8fbfbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.