TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09c0…7253

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$22.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+614.3%+$122.86
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.99
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.7
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
1. FC Heidenheim vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.