TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No58c17,156$9,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,955.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c6,866$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.120544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No54c6,480$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.193135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c6,090$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c3,222$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes18c2,802$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.566245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes47c2,722$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.6620143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No29c2,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9811837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c1,838$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.7743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes76c1,723$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c1,638$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.261,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No59c1,560$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.7715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes48c1,521$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.837145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No55c1,461$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.492254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes47c999.1$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes48c928.05$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.873844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes31c779$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.624524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes45c699.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c686$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes47c614.5$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.995556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c567.66$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2614254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes16c562.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.52040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.489154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c472.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes47c468.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes38c404.07$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.672055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed No4c399.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+118.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.625856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No53c369.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0714742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes47c366.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.672737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes65c352.96$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.155554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No38c308.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.542737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2439846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes47c295.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.741650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes21c291.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes47c278.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c267$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed No55c263.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd1a…f04fbacked No67c260.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No53c244.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7713553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.776550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes50c200.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.18041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052931%9 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes63c198.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4131051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No72c191.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7413639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes60c183.03$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0313658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.673948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e1…682abacked Yes78c163.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.883100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.299653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.861936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No54c130.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.494242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No54c130.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4710451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes46c125.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.573724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…533cbacked Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x831c…f4eabacked Yes46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes47c117.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No72c109.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes48c103.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.937568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804520%9 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb79…85bebacked Yes17c90$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+200%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.115745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes47c76.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes17c74.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.494235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5992…40bfbacked Yes16c74.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No53c73.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.189037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes47c73.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.74540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c70.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+54.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.226448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes50c60.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3317948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.411546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6974backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.