Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e9ef0673853f2c54960e3df5a1341e6b09ce4a19db62cb2cee54578bc6a53d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 36c | 9,850$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.75 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 6,702$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 4,372$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.94 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 60c | 3,850$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 27c | 2,590$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.19 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 41c | 2,013$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,821$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 1,699$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.16 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 35c | 1,433$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,363$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 80c | 1,333$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 10c | 1,300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 870$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 21c | 620.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…5c25backed Yes | 32c | 484.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 29c | 459.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 62c | 392.47$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 381.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 8c | 377$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 75c | 370.04$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 20c | 305$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 238.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 206$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 42c | 192.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee6…0f25backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 170$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 38c | 155.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 13c | 149.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 127.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…3485backed Yes | 38c | 119.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 42c | 117.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 32c | 100.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…85bebacked Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +200%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes | 42c | 86.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 24c | 73.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 25c | 57.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 58c | 49.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 41.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…c340backed Yes | 32c | 37.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 33c | 35.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 34c | 34.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…491abacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…c87fbacked Yes | 40c | 25.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6024…d4f0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…2e37backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.