TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda5c…ed5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST3256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.85
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Espanyol win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+143.9%+$86.34
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$117.43
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.55
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.9%+$66.9
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+194.1%+$163.33
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.6%+$43.53
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+74.3%+$22.88
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80.36
1H Spread: Rams (-4.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rams (-5.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$61.61
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Spread: Texans (-9.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$43.44
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LAR vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Broncos vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+93.1%+$58.03
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$20.97
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$81.69
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$40.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.2%+$177.5
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$76.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$90
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$38.58
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.06
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Monacobacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.9%+$58.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+93.1%+$46.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.