Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab219d0cac8339d9c441dbe48a4e63c35c2dbf2d572821553d086c0c0e4a5358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Barcelona, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Barcelona | 54c | 7,412$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.53 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monaco | 45c | 5,830$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.12 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Barcelona | 5c | 3,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Barcelona | 55c | 2,749$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c8…b6d7backed Barcelona | 54c | 2,173$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Monaco | 46c | 1,994$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.66 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Monaco | 46c | 1,825$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monaco | 45c | 1,642$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.63 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Barcelona | 56c | 1,530$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 46c | 1,372$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.69 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Barcelona | 58c | 1,355$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.14 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Monaco | 45c | 1,300$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.84 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Barcelona | 17c | 876.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Barcelona | 54c | 799.79$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Barcelona | 52c | 786.19$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Barcelona | 55c | 710$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Monaco | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Monaco | 46c | 535$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Barcelona | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Monaco | 48c | 489.58$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.58 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monaco | 74c | 305$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Monaco | 47c | 304.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Monaco | 47c | 294$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…931ebacked Monaco | 46c | 294$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Monaco | 43c | 283.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Monaco | 47c | 280.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Monaco | 51c | 269.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Barcelona | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…7e20backed Monaco | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Monaco | 46c | 227.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Barcelona | 54c | 216.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Barcelona | 15c | 208.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Monaco | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Monaco | 45c | 193$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Barcelona | 57c | 175.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Monaco | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Barcelona | 39c | 155.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Barcelona | 52c | 149.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Monaco | 53c | 126.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Monaco | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Barcelona | 12c | 124.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Barcelona | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…e5bbbacked Monaco | 46c | 111$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Monaco | 54c | 104.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Barcelona | 21c | 101.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Barcelona | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Monaco | 47c | 89.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Barcelona | 54c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8570backed Barcelona | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Barcelona | 19c | 66.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Barcelona | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Monaco | 52c | 44.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Barcelona | 54c | 42.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…807fbacked Monaco | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Barcelona | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Barcelona | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…a2e8backed Monaco | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Monaco | 46c | 34.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Barcelona | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Barcelona | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monaco | 46c | 26.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Monaco | 48c | 25.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Monaco | 52c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Monaco | 48c | 21.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.