TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$869,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$963,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed No39c114,837$44,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,653.858940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes57c94,093$53,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,207.3910962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c69,424$41,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,092.451,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes61c62,437$38,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,350.3424846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No39c61,728$24,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,073.9421853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c41,217$16,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,289.272,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c40,784$24,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,666.221,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c35,728$15,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,049.2179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No38c26,452$10,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,094.1329253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No42c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.941520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No39c21,190$8,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,264.067542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No40c20,173$8,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,069.175651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes59c13,555$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.481553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No39c13,040$5,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,085.610335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes62c11,440$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,351.910737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No43c11,198$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,861.4911162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No34c10,635$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.091,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9007147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes60c9,648$5,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes57c9,497$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.829946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes59c9,306$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.0625551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c8,505$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.11,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.337028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No40c8,173$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.1514450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No53c8,000$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.5819652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes79c7,601$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.5410768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No42c7,525$3,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.8723741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes64c7,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No43c6,626$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,84910849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes61c6,557$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.389636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c6,203$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.3346651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No42c6,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.964643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e70cbacked No40c5,479$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0142…cb26backed Yes60c5,304$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes59c4,836$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.0745751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes58c4,721$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.982828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes62c4,297$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.773231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes57c4,228$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.3717744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c4,061$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes54c4,024$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.045752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No40c3,850$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54010159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c3,493$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a35…0d46backed Yes58c3,300$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes63c3,195$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3207357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes66c2,803$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.3741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c2,799$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.574,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes60c2,709$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes57c2,646$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.2661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes56c2,625$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.783154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No42c2,500$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.6390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No45c2,500$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.999843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No43c2,491$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.9321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c2,386$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.3142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes57c2,105$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.2612345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes58c1,995$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.627755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes56c1,957$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.172330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No42c1,900$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80317833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.825752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfc…0fc2backed Yes61c1,847$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.231450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes57c1,809$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1a…01afbacked Yes58c1,699$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No16c1,625$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes61c1,455$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.4511346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No39c1,430$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7910455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c1,388$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.9868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes59c1,340$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes61c1,317$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.648343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes55c1,276$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.656746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…ff3dbacked Yes57c1,266$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes55c1,193$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.965151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No41c1,140$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0353134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…d5cabacked Yes57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Yes61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e1…d431backed Yes61c919.11$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.452941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No39c918.42$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No44c894.21$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.454658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes56c890.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.94729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb900…fe44backed Yes61c889.39$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Yes58c889.08$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…ee79backed Yes58c845.89$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes60c837.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.562948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes56c816.07$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes58c799.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3407240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Yes56c793.52$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No43c751.44$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4411628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed No42c700$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+83.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d7…1d3abacked No39c678.64$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes68c651.15$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.155232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c632.55$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.871,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.