TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf209…97e1backed Yes22c21,381$4,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,748.497028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c12,213$9,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.472,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c9,101$7,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c5,226$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.182,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.024637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No79c3,794$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.561764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No77c3,188$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.268940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No79c2,638$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.989763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes21c2,293$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c1,669$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.491,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked No80c1,199$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.875058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No78c1,014$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0125551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No74c1,000$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.757963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No78c787.45$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.071,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes22c737.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c730.4$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes29c690$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes15c685.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14510751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10529427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2711…4019backed Yes23c428.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes26c399.26$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.58045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No79c372.06$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.131,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9ba…932ebacked No79c369.75$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c313.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes21c302.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.632454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9588…d801backed Yes23c286.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Yes29c259.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No79c257.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.187176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes22c246.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.31119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb86e…7395backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c210.4$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c179.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e69…b5dabacked No75c155$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c151.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.591,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8518562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c126.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd036…a17cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes23c99.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.987236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No76c91.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5b…0749backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7522764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7582763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7f6f…56ffbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No80c68.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0412646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe2…ca91backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No78c59.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2400…28cebacked Yes20c58.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113040%12 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e3…1fd2backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.120858.7%122 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb36…eb17backed Yes26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…9d5dbacked Yes23c45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe259…7867backed No77c41.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb3…be06backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed No79c36.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed No79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No79c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.098563.5%54 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.977740.3%31 W · 46 L-11.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x59f1…6710backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252080%16 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.423863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4440157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No76c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2886…0e62backed No78c21.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No77c20.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No78c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1235661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No77c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.375259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.83372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No77c15.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.525949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2422961.6%141 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked No67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.