TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2400…28ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30.3
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+303.8%+$75.96
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+375.1%+$41.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40.33
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+123%+$43.04
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$15.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.