TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Napoli win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes30c25,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c17,553$12,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,245.082,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No73c12,502$9,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.0524657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No64c7,168$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.4616154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes35c6,005$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.7220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c4,403$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.411,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No71c3,390$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.5812050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes11c2,730$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes36c1,372$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.995538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes38c1,317$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes36c1,207$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.365052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c1,050$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes29c862.57$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9413155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes36c849.96$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c639.5$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No69c610$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.988169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes35c600$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c534.99$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc31…133cbacked Yes31c504.39$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes38c494.65$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.02812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes31c407.69$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.263020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c391.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes38c357.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes35c334.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes38c331$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.783036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8abd…9671backed Yes38c316$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No67c296.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.442161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes38c288.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes38c281.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8e…0de9backed Yes30c264.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…e890backed Yes23c261.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Yes10c251.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6747…3695backed Yes37c245.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc18b…8bafbacked Yes37c239.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ca…740abacked Yes31c192.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3813…a81fbacked Yes33c159.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9126…1896backed Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes34c147.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc2…d923backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No62c126.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.129643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes38c126.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3c…6d32backed Yes33c123.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fe…e803backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No62c110.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed No65c97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes35c82.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.873622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes39c80.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a8…96d2backed Yes31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Yes38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bf2…45bcbacked Yes37c65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c73…36c5backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2400…28cebacked Yes20c60.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No69c57.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.910260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb445…abf8backed Yes34c56.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf135…b072backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+263.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Yes38c52.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf914…4a78backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e1…9364backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5263…52ccbacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes38c47.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…9d69backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155334%18 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cc…9f53backed No63c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes36c35.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.966165.6%40 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…c33fbacked No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2511546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No63c28.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes38c28.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes38c28.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No64c27.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.075642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked No66c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…635abacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No79c19.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.029754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1945…cfa6backed No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.