Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb14cf7611cba32b426e638f1e82bb674db6d1902ef811948b5f474adb1ae007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,871,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,148,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,871,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 890 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Yes | 60c | 200,000$119,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,335.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 40c | 186,336$74,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,594.65 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 59c | 179,098$105,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,465.71 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 66c | 157,977$104,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,313.4 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 150,133$88,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,631.01 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 125,138$50,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,558.12 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 41c | 105,000$43,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,049.89 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 78,807$32,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,263.72 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 74,122$18,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,137.99 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 40c | 69,681$27,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,820.37 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 41c | 50,270$20,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,610.76 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 44,302$25,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,487.32 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.98 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 36,160$15,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,106.45 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 30c | 35,297$10,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,667.39 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 35,000$20,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,350 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 40c | 33,200$13,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,280 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 24,945$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 24,295$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,269.48 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 41c | 20,497$8,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,474.02 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 4c | 17,992$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.22 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 42c | 17,500$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 78c | 17,124$13,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.44 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 59c | 17,023$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,022.93 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 40c | 15,555$6,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,221.99 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 40c | 14,671$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,935.49 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked No | 41c | 14,606$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 41c | 14,519$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.88 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 13,694$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.35 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 12,221$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 41c | 12,156$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.74 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 7c | 12,100$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 11,938$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.7 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 4c | 11,426$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.02 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 11,415$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.58 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 60c | 10,667$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.67 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 20c | 10,355$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.99 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 60c | 9,558$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.05 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 60c | 8,000$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Yes | 59c | 6,283$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 17c | 5,732$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…5816backed Yes | 59c | 5,581$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…b0b9backed No | 41c | 5,573$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 28c | 5,171$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.51 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…716ebacked No | 42c | 5,100$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 40c | 5,002$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.67 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.95 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 1c | 4,963$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 58c | 4,950$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.99 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 4,211$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.95 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 41c | 3,937$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 41c | 3,930$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.57 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 3,872$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.03 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 41c | 3,804$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 60c | 3,631$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 60c | 3,545$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 3,283$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.99 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 41c | 3,200$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.98 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 38c | 3,185$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.25 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 23c | 3,045$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.45 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…17babacked No | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 5c | 2,786$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 2,710$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.39 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…1debbacked Yes | 59c | 2,540$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 61c | 2,500$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…3e5cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,447$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 40c | 2,400$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 2,357$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Yes | 60c | 2,203$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 65c | 2,200$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…ab25backed Yes | 60c | 2,200$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,160$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.46 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 40c | 2,149$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.93 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 70c | 2,132$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.58 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 6c | 2,032$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 42c | 2,000$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.