TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No77c9,150$7,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.5818950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c8,919$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes1c7,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked No78c6,154$4,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.751764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Yes0c5,808$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.344847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes23c3,261$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes3c1,863$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7415238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes13c1,459$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.381,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes18c1,363$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No77c1,330$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.93348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes17c1,298$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No78c1,281$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.011,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes21c1,171$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes15c1,135$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.082,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6a…627abacked No77c1,030$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes16c1,009$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.31,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c1,007$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.571,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Yes22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c885$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.551,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18411945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No78c769.81$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.694551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fc…0f98backed Yes24c580$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes23c460$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.86036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8625…9a90backed Yes24c450$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c443.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6226229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c314.78$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.192,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes18c304.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7512646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes19c268.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.715347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes6c268.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes22c259.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.28940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c245$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes23c231.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1410139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes23c218$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1414945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b2…122dbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9789…2cb7backed Yes23c189.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c187.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.261,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes20c127.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4429253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No77c125$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes9c125$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes17c121.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes21c114.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.133124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Yes17c110.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.333748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b9…215cbacked Yes21c109$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No78c105$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes15c102.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ad…cad5backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No77c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.56053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9a…baf0backed Yes24c99.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes22c91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0254128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c25…606ebacked Yes22c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.389542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb492…586cbacked Yes23c77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c63.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No78c60.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252250%11 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes22c48.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8140150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes22c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5612647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Yes23c46.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.026544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No77c27.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2720858.7%122 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1299…29fbbacked No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59f1…6710backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.643568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7222961.6%141 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0102…8b43backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882050%10 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7140157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No77c24.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7511952.9%63 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f6…be2abacked No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2329458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No78c18.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.19555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3868…094dbacked No79c14.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9935661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.