TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd88e…ef1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST3748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73.73
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.8%+$48.13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$95.45
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+95.1%+$387.53
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+316.7%+$108.18
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.78
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$78.37
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.05
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$372.86
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.1%+$120.14
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$79.5
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.7%+$6.72
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Leeds United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.7%+$33.57
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+32%+$51.1
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$56.9
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Spread: Brighton (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.31
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.96
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+110.2%+$176.42
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.2%+$31.15
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.5%+$4.56
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$26.51
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+76.2%+$63.07
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+77.4%+$17.88
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75%+$33.76
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+74.4%+$52.7
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.41
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+115.1%+$11.79
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$12.14
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37.6%+$18.4
Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.56
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.06
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.54
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$44.96
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.2%+$39.94
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.78
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.06
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.57
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+60%+$18.41
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+30.7%+$15.53
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+95%+$29.24
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+111.3%+$77.39
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+168.7%+$17.78
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.22
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$916.24
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$364.61
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.1%+$17.73
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+62.9%+$23.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$321.57
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+88.4%+$14.29
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+58.3%+$7.2
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30.79
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+30.3%+$7.15
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$30.4
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+179.6%+$66.22
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.84
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.6%+$22.82
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+75.1%+$57.27
Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+70.7%+$57.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.58
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.1%+$7.51
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.12
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38.63
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.73
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32%+$5.12
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$805
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$645
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,336.36
Kraken vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$97.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+34.1%+$5.42
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.22
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed EC Juventude · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.34
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.8%+$12.52
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.03
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+37.2%+$8.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$4.93
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$347.26
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$227.53
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.2
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+197.8%+$184.88
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Dalby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+274.6%+$265.22
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$43.32
UFC Fight Night: Rock vs. Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$259.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.14
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.3%+$13.38
Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+89.7%+$813.97
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$804.93
Spread: Bears (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+89.4%+$11.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$534.55
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$682.33
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$780
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+113.6%+$1,249.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$99.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$760.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)backed Union Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.