TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No79c7,395$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed Yes10c7,262$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes39c6,780$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes33c5,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.974233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214d…cd09backed Yes20c5,400$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes21c5,158$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.63930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes24c5,078$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c5,020$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.2130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes25c4,001$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes20c3,215$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6432611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No75c3,137$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.3429545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c3,100$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.9915516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes43c3,005$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.156235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No79c2,610$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.094348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No77c2,399$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes22c2,210$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c2,198$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No77c2,147$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Yes25c2,008$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c1,930$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.613,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No75c1,841$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.2225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes23c1,764$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf562…4099backed Yes3c1,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No72c1,682$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes25c1,603$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4292…5b45backed Yes23c1,543$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes22c1,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.992433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c1,273$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.324,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No78c1,268$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2799459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Yes23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d8…7cbabacked No77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes21c1,197$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes13c1,169$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c5…b3adbacked Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b3…442cbacked No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Yes23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No63c977.83$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No75c961.21$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes22c926.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No79c891.16$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.161283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+82.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No76c754.19$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0113046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…3aa8backed Yes9c736.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes18c671$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.787440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes38c664.87$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0625872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes13c637.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No72c633.88$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0712251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes34c603.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.593450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes24c599.8$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes7c539.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.378125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No78c535.08$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0812757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x212d…fb0dbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes22c513.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb134…af68backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+261.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92e5…d129backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7638…9e82backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x831c…f4eabacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked No73c470.73$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes24c468.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.433145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes23c418$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes24c416.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes24c416.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…18e3backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ce…9e59backed No77c399.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes22c399.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd87…decabacked No77c399.97$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3a…3d6ebacked Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No77c316.48$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.928961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8db…ddfcbacked Yes6c281.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b16…7af0backed Yes23c273.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked No77c249.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No78c247.69$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.491866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…56d8backed Yes23c238.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.85120%0 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab35…ccd0backed Yes18c233.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No62c230$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.423762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a2f…2318backed Yes22c227.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes17c225$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes14c219.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302025%5 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes22c212.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes24c210.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.