TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab35…ccd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$84.2
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$40.29
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+246.4%+$73.92
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+1,182.7%+$118.27
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+39%+$22.24
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$5.96
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.62
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$14
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+34.8%+$13.93
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+275.9%+$33.11
Washington State Cougars vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Brown Bears vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Portland Pilots vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.7%+$27.16
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.88
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$21.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.