Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kansas State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e6cebcdc290b321d981cc70acb1c18f7a07548a5d3819d7812ff9d09a31e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Bowling Green Falcons, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 15c | 20,952$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,809.45 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…ccd0backed Kansas State Wildcats | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bowling Green Falcons | 12c | 7,172$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 12c | 4,770$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.11 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bowling Green Falcons | 78c | 3,332$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.7 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Bowling Green Falcons | 49c | 3,156$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 10c | 2,963$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.7 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 51c | 2,924$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling Green Falcons | 9c | 1,832$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.12 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 34c | 1,759$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 1,707$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 11c | 1,321$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.59 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bowling Green Falcons | 15c | 980$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bowling Green Falcons | 15c | 816.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 12c | 800$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 9c | 696.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Bowling Green Falcons | 15c | 626.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.21 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Bowling Green Falcons | 12c | 584.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.51 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 50c | 433.87$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bowling Green Falcons | 20c | 408.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 63c | 389.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 334.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 260.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bowling Green Falcons | 14c | 194.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 10c | 187$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Bowling Green Falcons | 12c | 186.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 161.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 11c | 160.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 9c | 154$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Kansas State Wildcats | 62c | 119.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 20c | 109.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bowling Green Falcons | 10c | 100.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bowling Green Falcons | 12c | 99.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 92.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bowling Green Falcons | 36c | 89.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 56c | 67.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 57.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Kansas State Wildcats | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 65c | 41.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.