NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1671517bd3d1671146fdc1951e1fcd7caec1cd4dfaec52f319b6bb16d5712a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Bucks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,185,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,266,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Heat | 79c | 98,780$78,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,762.04 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 80c | 39,191$31,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,931.43 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Bucks | 6c | 38,762$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.8 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 19c | 38,457$7,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 74c | 33,949$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.27 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 17c | 33,367$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Bucks | 12c | 25,631$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.74 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Bucks | 28c | 23,088$6,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,413.66 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 75c | 21,339$16,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.75 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Heat | 76c | 21,005$15,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks | 24c | 20,152$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.63 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bucks | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Heat | 80c | 19,083$15,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.5 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 28c | 17,684$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.64 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 22c | 17,413$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.97 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bucks | 22c | 15,555$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.1 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 24c | 15,216$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Bucks | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 20c | 13,351$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.15 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Heat | 80c | 12,492$9,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Bucks | 20c | 10,382$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.34 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 77c | 9,842$7,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 24c | 9,424$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.51 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 27c | 9,079$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.12 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Heat | 79c | 9,008$7,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.77 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bucks | 25c | 8,274$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.62 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Bucks | 25c | 7,925$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 26c | 7,730$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.78 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 19c | 7,153$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.16 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bucks | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heat | 76c | 6,980$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.58 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bucks | 25c | 6,848$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.94 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 76c | 6,550$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.97 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 10c | 6,350$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.25 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bucks | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 5,945$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Bucks | 29c | 5,664$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.57 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Bucks | 18c | 5,607$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Heat | 74c | 5,207$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.36 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…b327backed Bucks | 12c | 4,805$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 24c | 4,612$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.42 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bucks | 26c | 4,126$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bucks | 26c | 4,046$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.93 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Bucks | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.95 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 72c | 3,996$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.88 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 78c | 3,860$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 24c | 3,821$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 78c | 3,796$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.68 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Heat | 69c | 3,769$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.39 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 20c | 3,757$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.27 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bucks | 26c | 3,425$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.41 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Bucks | 27c | 3,018$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.86 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Heat | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Bucks | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.96 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 18c | 2,989$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 23c | 2,915$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.41 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bucks | 23c | 2,902$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 21c | 2,830$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.57 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Heat | 80c | 2,784$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.69 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Heat | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Bucks | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 26c | 2,496$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.7 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 26c | 2,455$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Bucks | 21c | 2,385$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks | 27c | 2,251$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 15c | 2,248$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bucks | 24c | 2,200$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 76c | 2,125$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Bucks | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 25c | 1,968$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.94 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 26c | 1,899$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.79 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bucks | 2c | 1,870$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…1240backed Bucks | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…7b95backed Bucks | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Heat | 76c | 1,784$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Heat | 75c | 1,636$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…1c6cbacked Bucks | 27c | 1,623$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…b043backed Bucks | 27c | 1,613$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Bucks | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Heat | 71c | 1,596$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.02 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 21c | 1,546$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.59 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 74c | 1,539$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Heat | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bucks | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Bucks | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Heat | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 3c | 1,472$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Heat | 75c | 1,467$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bucks | 27c | 1,466$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.4 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 24c | 1,449$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.85 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 26c | 1,441$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 24c | 1,423$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.61 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 7c | 1,421$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Heat | 80c | 1,389$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Bucks | 24c | 1,375$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.07 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 80c | 1,374$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…b029backed Bucks | 20c | 1,370$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Heat | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…37b0backed Bucks | 27c | 1,360$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.