NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f43350263e24a4b25151e602ea818c7cfda15bc2afe5bf72a59d139f8f27ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,504,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,588,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Grizzlies | 30c | 354,215$105,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 72c | 151,814$109,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,925.47 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 24c | 99,160$24,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,234.42 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Nuggets | 76c | 87,421$66,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,547.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Grizzlies | 26c | 82,599$21,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,276.64 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 71c | 47,569$33,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,586.93 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 25c | 38,518$9,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,576.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 70c | 35,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Grizzlies | 30c | 35,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nuggets | 76c | 35,000$26,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 76c | 32,895$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.74 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 76c | 26,316$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.79 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Grizzlies | 24c | 24,123$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,789.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 20,848$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.57 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 25c | 20,651$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Nuggets | 74c | 19,000$14,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 25c | 18,957$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.3 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 11c | 18,915$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Grizzlies | 27c | 18,705$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.36 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nuggets | 73c | 18,470$13,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.22 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Nuggets | 76c | 14,191$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.96 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Grizzlies | 24c | 14,021$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.92 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Nuggets | 70c | 12,743$8,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.46 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nuggets | 70c | 12,175$8,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.5 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 74c | 11,837$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.99 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 24c | 11,227$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.59 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 9,507$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Grizzlies | 25c | 9,421$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.91 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 80c | 8,551$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.82 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Grizzlies | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 74c | 7,298$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.17 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Grizzlies | 17c | 7,024$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.4 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 24c | 6,400$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.95 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b49bbacked Nuggets | 75c | 5,720$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 78c | 5,647$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 71c | 5,549$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies | 25c | 5,511$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 16c | 5,475$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 24c | 5,261$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 27c | 5,200$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 24c | 5,092$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.02 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Nuggets | 68c | 4,958$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.47 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 75c | 4,853$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 4,677$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.47 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 3,767$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed Nuggets | 80c | 3,758$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 2c | 3,525$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 3,350$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.48 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 72c | 3,140$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.92 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Nuggets | 76c | 2,868$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.28 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Nuggets | 71c | 2,828$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 16c | 2,767$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Nuggets | 76c | 2,561$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 76c | 2,555$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.12 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 2,543$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,533$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Nuggets | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,156$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.4 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,925$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…61c6backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,923$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…54e1backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,898$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,784$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,764$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Nuggets | 76c | 1,750$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,688$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…e35dbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 1,616$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 1,501$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,491$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,460$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,423$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.16 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,417$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,386$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.28 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,357$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,355$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.35 | 353 | 62.6%221 W · 132 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…a857backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,318$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Nuggets | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,303$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.6 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nuggets | 74c | 1,274$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Nuggets | 70c | 1,250$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…11b5backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,223$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…dedebacked Grizzlies | 26c | 1,213$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,147$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Nuggets | 74c | 1,145$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.59 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…0486backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,118$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.99 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Nuggets | 73c | 1,082$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.15 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…4ab2backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,056$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…ab38backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,045$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.