NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ab7623639a3f54a7991b71bf227fa55fd4138f54f66c017a190f9c0bd7d612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Grizzlies | 53c | 191,387$102,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,234.16 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 47c | 151,232$71,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,553.92 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 45c | 10,155$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,499$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.43 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 6,915$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 5,291$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.05 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,250$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,335$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.15 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Nuggets | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,097$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…fd93backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…103dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,382$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.15 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,157$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,118$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,093$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.39 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nuggets | 48c | 788.37$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Nuggets | 53c | 634.62$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Grizzlies | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 429.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 420$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Nuggets | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Nuggets | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Grizzlies | 49c | 243$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 207.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…42a1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…cc08backed Nuggets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Nuggets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…b00ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 188.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Nuggets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Nuggets | 50c | 178.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Nuggets | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Nuggets | 52c | 164.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 55c | 157$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 153.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Nuggets | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Nuggets | 53c | 124$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Nuggets | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nuggets | 52c | 110.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 48c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Grizzlies | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Nuggets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Nuggets | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 101.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Nuggets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Grizzlies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Nuggets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Nuggets | 54c | 94.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Nuggets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Nuggets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Nuggets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked Nuggets | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Nuggets | 54c | 73.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Nuggets | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nuggets | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Grizzlies | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Nuggets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Grizzlies | 48c | 41.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Nuggets | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Nuggets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nuggets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 31.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…1389backed Grizzlies | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Nuggets | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Nuggets | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Nuggets | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nuggets | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. GrizzliesNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.