NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6acaf7063ba979a6ed1244d695a73e5a33dcfa89974a71d4910eb9a523ac1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Wild | 58c | 87,661$50,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,465.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Sabres | 43c | 86,701$37,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,419.3 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Sabres | 43c | 86,644$37,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,387.12 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 57c | 49,950$28,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,471.5 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Sabres | 42c | 38,190$16,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,150 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Wild | 3c | 25,957$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.64 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Wild | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 43c | 23,540$10,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,417.99 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wild | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wild | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sabres | 43c | 20,000$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,350 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 8c | 12,397$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 56c | 10,433$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.35 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…cabbbacked Wild | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wild | 54c | 9,776$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.74 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 44c | 9,214$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 57c | 8,995$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.15 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Wild | 57c | 8,339$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.21 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Wild | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Wild | 57c | 7,017$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.69 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 57c | 5,912$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.67 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 42c | 5,714$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.12 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 46c | 5,365$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.45 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Sabres | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca0…f288backed Sabres | 50c | 4,574$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 57c | 4,500$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 57c | 4,232$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.66 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Wild | 58c | 4,049$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.08 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Sabres | 49c | 4,000$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.53 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Sabres | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.09 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 53c | 2,430$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.9 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Sabres | 42c | 2,353$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.55 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wild | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wild | 60c | 2,011$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.58 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Wild | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Wild | 67c | 2,000$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.97 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 37c | 1,732$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wild | 50c | 1,718$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.3 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wild | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wild | 58c | 1,383$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.32 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 57c | 1,333$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.81 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres | 35c | 1,323$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.88 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild | 57c | 1,234$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.38 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sabres | 43c | 1,177$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.84 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Wild | 58c | 1,092$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.36 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Wild | 56c | 968.71$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Wild | 57c | 968.42$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 58c | 934.08$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.77 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 22c | 907.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.56 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 58c | 888$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.04 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Sabres | 45c | 760.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.51 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 48c | 689.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.18 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild | 57c | 631.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Wild | 34c | 622.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild | 58c | 616$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.28 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Wild | 56c | 577.57$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wild | 57c | 516.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.48 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Wild | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Wild | 58c | 496.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wild | 63c | 487.3$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.86 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 58c | 483.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.77 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Sabres | 43c | 469$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.33 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild | 28c | 454.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sabres | 42c | 448$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.84 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Wild | 57c | 447.45$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Wild | 57c | 438.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Sabres | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 42c | 417$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Wild | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wild | 58c | 412.07$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Sabres | 26c | 399.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sabres | 42c | 346$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Sabres | 37c | 339.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 64c | 333$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d9…437fbacked Wild | 58c | 321.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Wild | 73c | 307.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Wild | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Wild | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sabres | 39c | 288.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.62 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Wild | 55c | 274.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Wild | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Wild | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Sabres | 23c | 261.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 40c | 234.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Sabres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Sabres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Wild | 58c | 232.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…975ebacked Sabres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Wild | 57c | 224.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Wild | 59c | 204.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Wild | 59c | 203.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wild | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Wild | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Wildthis page
- Sabres vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.