TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jaguars vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Jaguars, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$911,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$972,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $911,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Titans29c135,016$39,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,154.517440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Jaguars72c122,768$88,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,116.145648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Jaguars71c112,500$79,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,62519553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Titans29c88,500$25,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,664.9816836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Titans29c59,440$17,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,237.5510026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Titans28c50,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,199.9931240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Jaguars71c48,625$34,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,101.2820755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jaguars71c38,028$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,028.176459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars71c35,648$25,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,337.9244652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Titans29c35,000$10,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,149.995236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Titans29c27,031$7,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,942.2930043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Titans29c22,942$6,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,653.0817041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jaguars72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6005431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Titans29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.9314342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars60c13,975$8,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.6173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Titans0c13,634$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Titans27c12,705$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.9112744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Titans28c12,115$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.3283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Titans4c11,893$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7331543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Titans27c11,111$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.974634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3300…568bbacked Jaguars71c10,315$7,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.351070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Titans42c10,249$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.181080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jaguars71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jaguars71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Titans28c9,968$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.9130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Titans13c8,622$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.998128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Jaguars71c8,025$5,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jaguars71c7,777$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.4353253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Titans28c7,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10011544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Jaguars71c7,324$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.945756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaad…e230backed Jaguars73c6,830$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Titans11c6,566$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.6820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Jaguars71c6,442$4,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.641850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa755…e16bbacked Titans27c6,298$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Titans0c5,900$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Jaguars69c5,823$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.286540%26 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jaguars60c5,262$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.318532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Titans27c5,017$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.961,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Jaguars71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Titans30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Titans10c4,700$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2247348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f02…d349backed Jaguars71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Titans34c3,893$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.0923850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Titans29c3,774$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.382520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Jaguars71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.135764.9%37 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jaguars71c3,469$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.0611643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Jaguars71c3,420$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.84847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Jaguars71c3,358$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Titans32c3,043$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3427348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Jaguars60c3,000$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.255472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Titans29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8704330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8214…506cbacked Titans29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Titans29c2,527$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.926759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Titans29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7257050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Titans5c2,342$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Titans35c2,311$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.7316254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x275f…ca15backed Titans28c2,212$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f0…70aabacked Jaguars71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.682263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Titans1c2,036$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.812615.4%4 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Titans15c2,015$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.974944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Titans29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Titans29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5807626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09f0…1e82backed Titans30c2,000$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Titans9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Titans28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jaguars71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Titans26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.986550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Titans24c1,900$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Titans28c1,849$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Titans28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50414443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…abfcbacked Jaguars72c1,776$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.83666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…0f1cbacked Titans26c1,764$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Titans29c1,750$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.257732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Titans25c1,731$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.485230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Titans40c1,725$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.0675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Titans29c1,721$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0714035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Titans40c1,692$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.84542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Titans30c1,668$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.46233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cd5…65dabacked Titans30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f3…f88bbacked Jaguars71c1,620$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede9…3656backed Titans30c1,545$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Jaguars71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43530446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Titans28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Jaguars70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Jaguars71c1,500$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe819…ebb5backed Titans26c1,439$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Jaguars72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Jaguars71c1,373$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed37…2d7bbacked Titans30c1,369$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42c…bc52backed Jaguars74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.362445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jaguars71c1,344$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.841,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Titans27c1,300$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.995143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Titans26c1,290$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8386547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d47…3e8bbacked Jaguars74c1,228$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jaguars71c1,187$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2954451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Titans29c1,158$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.752441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Titans29c1,150$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305050%25 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Titans27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Jaguars72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1110547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.