NFL · resolved market
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f9a60e439709d92c1a3a2538eb67ba724649716b75dbad7213c209b0a7a496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,265,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,269,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,265,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Titans | 53c | 1,000,000$530,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530,000 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars | 47c | 874,658$411,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463,568.93 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jaguars | 47c | 106,712$50,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,090.23 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Jaguars | 47c | 71,267$33,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,771.32 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Jaguars | 48c | 70,608$33,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,772.53 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Titans | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Titans | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Titans | 53c | 30,396$16,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,108.86 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Jaguars | 47c | 25,203$11,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,357.54 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Titans | 53c | 18,785$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Titans | 52c | 17,423$8,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,985.92 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Jaguars | 49c | 15,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Jaguars | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Titans | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Titans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Titans | 54c | 8,333$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Titans | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Jaguars | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jaguars | 48c | 5,434$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.03 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Jaguars | 48c | 5,015$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.15 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Jaguars | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Titans | 53c | 4,704$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jaguars | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Titans | 52c | 4,160$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Titans | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jaguars | 48c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Titans | 53c | 2,958$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.71 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Titans | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Jaguars | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Jaguars | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jaguars | 46c | 2,365$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.39 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,260$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.19 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Titans | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Jaguars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Titans | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Titans | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Jaguars | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Jaguars | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Titans | 37c | 995.14$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Jaguars | 51c | 975.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Titans | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Titans | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Titans | 52c | 892.01$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.41 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Jaguars | 48c | 830$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.3 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Titans | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jaguars | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Titans | 48c | 643.02$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Jaguars | 52c | 578$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Titans | 53c | 554.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jaguars | 46c | 549.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Titans | 53c | 525$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Titans | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Jaguars | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Jaguars | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Jaguars | 48c | 430$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Jaguars | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Titans | 52c | 419.85$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.32 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Titans | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Titans | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Jaguars | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Titans | 53c | 244.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Titans | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Titans | 50c | 239.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jaguars | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jaguars | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Jaguars | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Jaguars | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Jaguars | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Jaguars | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Jaguars | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Titans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jaguars | 47c | 199.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Titans | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Titans | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Jaguars | 47c | 189.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Titans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Titans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Titans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Jaguars | 48c | 178.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Jaguars | 47c | 174.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Titans | 48c | 158$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Jaguars | 47c | 151.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Titans | 53c | 150.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Jaguars | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Titans | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Jaguars | 66c | 129.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Titans | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Jaguars | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jaguars | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Titans | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Jaguars | 47c | 106.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Jaguars | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Jaguars | 48c | 101$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Jaguars | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Jaguars | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Jaguars | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Jaguars | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Titans | 49c | 86.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Jaguars vs. TitansJaguars won
- Jaguars vs. Titans: 1H O/U 20.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Titans: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 41.5Under won
- Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.