TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Hornets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$870,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$915,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $870,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets37c75,000$27,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,749.9838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Hornets64c60,633$38,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,788.573839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Nets36c47,637$17,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,487.8692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hornets63c40,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,20034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Hornets16c37,330$6,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.039640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets37c35,823$13,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,708.731,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets38c25,967$9,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,178.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Nets44c22,565$9,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,604.6921944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets52c22,172$11,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,579.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets40c18,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,25044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nets58c15,920$9,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,668.4448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nets37c14,770$5,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,361.1962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Hornets63c14,288$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0005139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Nets37c13,968$5,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.5310930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets36c13,679$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,754.3135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Hornets64c13,603$8,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,663.247259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets56c9,084$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.7659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Nets73c8,119$5,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.1914856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hornets38c7,797$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets63c7,390$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.892,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Hornets63c7,293$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.327255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets36c6,914$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Hornets60c6,786$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.48333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets14c6,738$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.081,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8214…506cbacked Hornets63c6,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nets37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7801,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets63c5,998$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets64c5,500$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Nets36c5,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.9821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5341…2b42backed Hornets66c5,455$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets40c5,436$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets38c5,263$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.1648938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hornets28c5,161$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.0826038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Nets34c5,108$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.0447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nets36c4,877$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.8944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x959b…58aebacked Hornets62c4,403$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0efd…2013backed Nets38c4,389$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3719…abfcbacked Hornets65c4,102$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ec…8c7abacked Nets35c4,089$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Hornets27c3,887$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.8813339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Hornets63c3,354$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.546636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets36c3,342$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Hornets15c3,000$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.924456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets61c2,899$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.371,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets55c2,765$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.81,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeec4…6d2fbacked Hornets64c2,750$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets8c2,607$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Nets36c2,580$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.7834227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Nets37c2,548$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.281323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Hornets64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6007050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.9985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets54c2,463$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.191,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets5c2,460$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.011,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Nets44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.8852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Nets36c2,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nets37c2,200$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3869851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Nets37c2,127$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.817050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Nets38c2,109$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.7814254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ec…3200backed Hornets43c2,092$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets38c2,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets36c1,966$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0e…ec76backed Nets37c1,800$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d5…3df2backed Nets37c1,700$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Nets35c1,653$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.4554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets35c1,605$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.63,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Hornets63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Nets37c1,576$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.6836943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Hornets64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Nets39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91517637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x809c…84b9backed Nets37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Nets34c1,474$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.384040%16 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Hornets49c1,450$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.1748132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hornets63c1,415$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.4544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Nets37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.3521142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Nets37c1,336$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.6869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Nets47c1,322$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.7544654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Nets38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8068048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Hornets63c1,296$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.2721055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets37c1,276$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.1946632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Hornets63c1,270$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets63c1,211$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.6273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Nets36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7684639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets72c1,169$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.213,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7670…5204backed Hornets65c1,120$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e4…2aadbacked Nets43c1,100$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf229…4ef1backed Nets37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6931040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd1…633cbacked Hornets59c1,100$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea30…5ab1backed Hornets46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets2c1,050$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcad…c851backed Hornets49c1,048$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5143850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…a9b2backed Hornets64c1,023$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010257.8%59 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets36c1,017$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.973,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c4…8fbabacked Hornets64c1,010$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nets38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Nets37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Hornets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets37c999.97$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9856945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d0…f32dbacked Nets37c999.97$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.