NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 227.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49bd26993f6330c831358fbb0e845217f98f854edcb1ee82887ebb2e88780ff7

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf88d…796dbacked Over	51c	8,200$4,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,182	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9a…5ecebacked Under	49c	8,200$4,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,182	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc850…616fbacked Over	50c	4,355$2,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,176	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over	51c	3,333$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.83	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Under	49c	2,611$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.69	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	1,909$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.26	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	51c	1,747$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.9	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	49c	1,142$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.42	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Under	49c	1,018$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.32	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	1,002$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.02	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Over	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	50c	999.3$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.65	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Over	51c	900$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Under	49c	900$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under	50c	882.96$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.48	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	52c	386.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under	49c	291.84$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.84	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Under	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under	50c	236$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	48c	226$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.52	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	49c	225.78$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.3	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	37c	212.04$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.97	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over	63c	209.48$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.97	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	52c	204$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.04	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	21c	200$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	197$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…4a47backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Over	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	49c	108.2$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.18	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed Under	62c	104$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…4c7abacked Over	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under	49c	99.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	52c	98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under	51c	97.23$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.23	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	62c	96$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.48	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over	51c	60.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ce4…88ecbacked Under	50c	57.52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	51c	49.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Over	51c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	48c	41.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	50c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	50c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Under	50c	27.4$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	66c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…ae66backed Over	54c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under	49c	24.31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	852	48.9%417 W · 435 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 227.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event