NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b31a587f7cadc3dbb8078ebc53b45ccc4f7ebf0fc78f871b038286fec7d7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.47 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 57c | 1,808$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.28 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 46c | 1,217$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 1,125$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 836.86$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 57c | 828.11$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.12 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Over | 61c | 700$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 608.36$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 57c | 148.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 109.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Over | 30c | 101.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 44c | 101.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 55c | 91.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 65c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 58c | 62.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 44c | 59.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…6388backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…4edbbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…9a8cbacked Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 225.5this page
- Hornets vs. NetsNets won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.