TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03f9…f78e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Earnings at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST13339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,334.59
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$9,985.69
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$7,968.32
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.18
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+101.6%+$115.81
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+147.1%+$7,974.15
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+123.8%+$4,951.33
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$642
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10,812.43
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,931Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,210.96
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$534
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500.09
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,955Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$4,284.45
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,275.44
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+93.5%+$46.74
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$425
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,630
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,005.86
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+306%+$12,852.74
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST5238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,825.51
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,510
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.33
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$8,547.44
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$188.79
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+204.6%+$559.78
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+149.1%+$1,390.66
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+488.1%+$4,847.07
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$89.11
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$203
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$176.18
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$293.65
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+27.1%+$625.84
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+106%+$68.88
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$76.86
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Oramond (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Sharks vs. Krakenbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+132.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+321.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+566.7%+$102
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.7%+$29.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed SK Slavia Praha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$57.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.