Fifa International · resolved market
Will DR Congo vs. Benin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec65d3d5f426878a8d81539eb4a1d6cdc7d80fd52c93a643d3a660b20592ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 70c | 2,765$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.62 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 71c | 2,039$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,569$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…0908backed Yes | 16c | 1,483$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,103$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 1,063$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 552$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 29c | 433.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked Yes | 16c | 385.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 343.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 30c | 336.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 29c | 315.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 308.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 18c | 300.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 268.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 15c | 267.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed Yes | 15c | 254.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 17c | 236.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 231$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Yes | 22c | 194.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…3f97backed Yes | 18c | 141.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 9c | 127.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…4d56backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 30c | 94.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed Yes | 14c | 86.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 70.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…1563backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…fcc3backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 71c | 22.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…011cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 72c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DR Congo vs. Benin end in a draw?this page
- Will Benin win on 2025-12-23?No won
- Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.