TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88ec…2065

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+103.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31%+$3.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+39%+$9.76
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+46%+$7.51
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.8%+$10.75
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+70.2%+$22.51
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.2%+$15.02
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40%+$15.57
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$31.82
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.54
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+2,860.4%+$571.79
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ipswich Town FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.28
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37.9%+$21.02
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$85.38
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+39.4%+$16.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.8%+$82.58
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.66
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$233.58
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$98.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+109.9%+$287.17
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+48.4%+$162.14
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$138.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick55cpaid-74.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+119.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+3,255.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$85.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.