Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aab5debe2e52c533e2c18f15e5ceaa7d659d5bd03ce429df8eae7efd3c4e65d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 3,474$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.27 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 67c | 3,443$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 2,509$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 1,432$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.66 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,402$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 1,284$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 25c | 678$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 25c | 600.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 332.69$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 32c | 327$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 55c | 293.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 78c | 257.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 252.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Over | 34c | 221.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 73c | 217.7$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 185$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 32c | 183$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 68c | 147.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 70c | 85.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 74c | 74.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 29c | 68.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 32c | 57.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 53.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 37.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 75c | 35.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Over | 63c | 34.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.