Champions League · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22ef7fe6f3929314662dd85fba7d9a4edc05fab8865112a8e60a3aeb6da4e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 71c | 119,999$85,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,823.01 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 20,698$6,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.14 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 30c | 15,640$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 15,614$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.03 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 29c | 11,580$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.5 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 9,982$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.78 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 29c | 6,207$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 5,376$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.21 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 27c | 4,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 74c | 2,450$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 29c | 2,335$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 29c | 2,238$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.09 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 28c | 2,184$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.46 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 73c | 1,999$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.73 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 40c | 1,703$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 71c | 1,271$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 29c | 1,163$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.27 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 62c | 793.6$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 29c | 748.28$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Under | 29c | 706.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 29c | 705.07$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 4c | 699.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 29c | 664$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Over | 55c | 560$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 504$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 72c | 498.61$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Under | 43c | 468.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 31c | 440$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 27c | 438$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 29c | 420.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 394.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 355.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 29c | 308.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under | 5c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 27c | 241.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 66c | 224.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 29c | 218.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 29c | 218.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Under | 48c | 208.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 28c | 195.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…59d9backed Under | 55c | 180.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 29c | 179.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Over | 73c | 158.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 29c | 158$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 16c | 134.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 123.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 120.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 28c | 119.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 29c | 115.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Under | 57c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 68c | 103.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 31c | 98.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 29c | 97.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 35c | 90.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 27c | 86.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 67c | 84.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 30c | 84.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 84.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Under | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 82.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 76.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…c79ebacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 28c | 67.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…653cbacked Over | 46c | 66.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Under | 29c | 59.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 29c | 59.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Under | 27c | 55.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Over | 71c | 54.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 47c | 53.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.