Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf198440bf03e8859791c9bc859a9c93c40dbe64d61ebf5bf7da83660f1ae5f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 18,795$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 16c | 1,457$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,334$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 76c | 1,323$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 16c | 776$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 16c | 584.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 66c | 545.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Under | 29c | 497.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 5c | 356.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 24c | 355.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 334$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 79c | 238.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 23c | 197$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 20c | 182.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Over | 65c | 162.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 106.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 19c | 101.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Under | 18c | 82.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 26c | 81.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 18c | 79.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 64c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Over | 74c | 20.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.