Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc9d293c0e2fdf564439e204680fd47fa76c392fab6b1ad4445908b854ca75d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 24,040$5,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 63c | 23,504$14,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.65 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 19,241$14,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 37c | 8,386$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.52 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 37c | 3,380$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.6 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.96 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 35c | 1,749$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.96 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 37c | 1,510$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.86 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Over | 38c | 1,066$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 38c | 801$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.38 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 592.22$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 61c | 481$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 39c | 343.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 38c | 337$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 37c | 317$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 21c | 312.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 37c | 303.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 38c | 298.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 28c | 259.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 71c | 240.3$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 53c | 237.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 213.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 37c | 199.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 60c | 188.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 33c | 183$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 38c | 175.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 152.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 148.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 141.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 133.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Under | 61c | 112.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 60c | 99.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 42c | 88.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 38c | 88.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 85.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 32c | 79.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…7c2ebacked Under | 73c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 60c | 71.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0dd7backed Under | 61c | 65.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 38c | 64.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b7…bc7abacked Over | 30c | 59.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Over | 38c | 55.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 38c | 41.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 30c | 41.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 40c | 33.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 31.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…2349backed Over | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb2…0e92backed Under | 79c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 72c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 58c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Under | 70c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.