TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cd7…88d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+39%+$7.79
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+46%+$9.2
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+54%+$12.11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.6%+$115.78
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+106.8%+$56.8
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$39.11
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.2%+$14.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.02
SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31%+$23.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+27.5%+$6.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.