Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73569fa68e7f318f6c90047e432dddf6b2f67982824098e10875672e3d0a65d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 9,989$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.6 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 55c | 7,194$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 3,798$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.78 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 80c | 2,999$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,333$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,389$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.44 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 80c | 1,155$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,143$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.2 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 1,041$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.49 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 49c | 782.75$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.55 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 60c | 745.21$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 22c | 483.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.49 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 48c | 416.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 378$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.62 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 335.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 78c | 256$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 250.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 225.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 39c | 203.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 35c | 199.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 195.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 68c | 117.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 74c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 49c | 109.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…08c2backed Over | 75c | 106.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…4675backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 22c | 94.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 85.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 78c | 84.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 73.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 73.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…d550backed Over | 39c | 60.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 40c | 32.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 31.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 52c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 63c | 23.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…c4adbacked Over | 80c | 21.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…4775backed Over | 53c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.