Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322531007a52166e9c22e2efe6ec5007f879769315bc06fa1b22f8c9d8eae5c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AJ Auxerreof Racing Club de Lens, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre | 60c | 6,728$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.44 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 1,639$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.1 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 1,499$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.62 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 1,463$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed AJ Auxerre | 58c | 1,463$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 1,048$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 31c | 701.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AJ Auxerre | 61c | 518.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.69 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Racing Club de Lens | 37c | 388.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 372.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed AJ Auxerre | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AJ Auxerre | 56c | 293.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Racing Club de Lens | 44c | 293.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…30febacked Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 246.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Racing Club de Lens | 44c | 227.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed AJ Auxerre | 56c | 209.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 154.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 96.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed AJ Auxerre | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed AJ Auxerre | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked AJ Auxerre | 59c | 64.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Racing Club de Lens | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked AJ Auxerre | 57c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed AJ Auxerre | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked AJ Auxerre | 67c | 19.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.