Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80769922616ca79be2f2dfb7291ae93d1245d1d7beca79d21dcd0b7b1ec1e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 17,368$11,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 26c | 12,780$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…4752backed Under | 44c | 4,355$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…a0b0backed Under | 44c | 4,221$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ff02backed Under | 44c | 4,014$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 46c | 2,918$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…a142backed Over | 56c | 2,365$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…ce0abacked Over | 56c | 2,151$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…4300backed Over | 56c | 2,033$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…282dbacked Over | 56c | 2,018$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 1,853$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.15 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,793$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.02 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 65c | 1,544$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.4 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 17c | 1,250$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…067ebacked Over | 56c | 1,012$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 969.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…2065backed Over | 56c | 936$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…6374backed Over | 56c | 889$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 58c | 813.16$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…fe1abacked Over | 56c | 728$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 56c | 628.24$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 45c | 599.48$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.71 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6331…8391backed Over | 56c | 458$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 343$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 248.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 180.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Under | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 43c | 150.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 143.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 45c | 116.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 96.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 56c | 92.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 55c | 91.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Over | 56c | 89.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 69.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 51.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Over | 26c | 51.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Under | 77c | 46.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 57c | 42.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 36.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…22ecbacked Under | 46c | 31.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Over | 45c | 30.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…9066backed Under | 45c | 26.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…eda8backed Over | 56c | 24.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…ec90backed Under | 45c | 22.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…debcbacked Under | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…0f40backed Over | 56c | 21.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…02b7backed Over | 56c | 18.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bc…45a9backed Over | 57c | 17.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.