TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$642,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$689,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $642,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca1…dd13backed No74c153,129$113,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,001.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes27c98,344$26,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,492.757938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes5c59,352$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.6293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes1c44,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c40,035$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.195933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes8c27,044$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.0996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c24,870$4,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,384.212,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6194…88b2backed No76c14,044$10,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes32c13,745$4,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.3532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c11,006$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.5531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes6c6,692$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5712923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No65c6,206$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.797345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c4,945$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.2449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Yes45c4,322$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…0674backed Yes2c3,548$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes7c3,500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes13c3,247$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes38c3,038$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.2718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes8c2,858$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7239740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes35c2,752$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.2346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes45c2,456$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.127145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Yes19c2,319$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes8c2,318$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.044727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee4…4ec5backed Yes7c2,196$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes21c2,195$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.8716045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes4c2,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed No56c1,949$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes3c1,869$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes2c1,789$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Yes5c1,771$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.881421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes5c1,739$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Yes6c1,687$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c1,594$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.461,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes7c1,552$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.984757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes8c1,546$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes5c1,534$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked No73c1,528$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.92245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes7c1,500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10836630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…9c89backed No76c1,356$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes44c1,299$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes6c1,285$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes16c1,282$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes36c1,257$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5414936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes2c1,233$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.193148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes2c1,228$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.857025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes26c1,134$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.56829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes32c1,130$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.56439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed No71c1,123$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes24c1,101$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3417529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes1c1,084$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes5c1,051$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3410038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf67…de19backed Yes1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Yes4c955.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes6c878.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.78714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Yes20c830.28$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.181650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes5c800$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No61c765.52$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.27750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes11c739.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes5c734$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c702.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.753218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48e…a565backed Yes43c701.81$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes31c675$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1828445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes5c675$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0514142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes2c650.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes6c614.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.219826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c612.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8712929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No57c578.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9526744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc904…ca06backed Yes20c555$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ff8…d432backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd7…88d8backed Yes6c477.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes4c476.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes15c459.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.982714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes9c455.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.034247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes5c445$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes9c419.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.292714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe376…5960backed Yes21c401.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Yes30c399.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…3625backed Yes5c389.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes19c375.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.593050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes7c373.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8916251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes3c369.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes7c332.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes6c323.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec7…12a6backed No66c310$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes35c284$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6815041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes36c275$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.982250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes8c266.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes13c242.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes9c238.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5117651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes7c236.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b37…4e2dbacked Yes19c235.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes7c228.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6570…32ccbacked Yes44c227.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes4c226.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked No76c218.2$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.