Serie A · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f8a0118b65f581ef2fcb02c94fff4d7ee4399042c58c10743bb18f7b7ad36c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 15c | 30,222$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.36 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…d72fbacked Yes | 27c | 18,465$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 12c | 6,393$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 24c | 5,300$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.99 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 3,119$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 2,420$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 2,400$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…710dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,707$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 954.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 16c | 926.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 70c | 923.57$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 2c | 917.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 75c | 907.12$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 9c | 851.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 78c | 756$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 588.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 14c | 551.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 490$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 15c | 380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 25c | 308.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 75c | 246$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 210.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 25c | 200.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 11c | 182.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 175$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 154$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 15c | 143.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 8c | 137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…e42ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 111.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 15c | 106.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…d432backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Yes | 31c | 79.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 19c | 62.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…c095backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 78c | 54.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Yes | 25c | 49.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Yes | 25c | 42.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 26c | 39.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 36.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked No | 80c | 26.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…a8e6backed No | 78c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 76c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.